Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.011687 0.014220 0.017425 0.021881 0.028098 0.036762 0.050346
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008145 0.010715 0.014372 0.020244 0.030074 0.047342 0.084501
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006459 0.008903 0.012641 0.019234 0.031797 0.058285 0.134670
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005542 0.007923 0.011784 0.019153 0.034916 0.074663 0.235185
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004986 0.007361 0.011419 0.019758 0.039759 0.101016 0.487627
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004490 0.006795 0.010895 0.019838 0.043479 0.130292 1.064251
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003990 0.006138 0.010062 0.018980 0.044253 0.151073 2.122970
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003633 0.005679 0.009520 0.018616 0.046350 0.183826 6.143445
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003460 0.005524 0.009540 0.019608 0.053702 0.271429 206.555856
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003358 0.005484 0.009788 0.021283 0.065376 0.464603 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003259 0.005436 0.010003 0.022974 0.079495 0.869003 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003069 0.005181 0.009710 0.023061 0.086191 1.319568 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002838 0.004846 0.009243 0.022676 0.091634 2.106909 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002561 0.004392 0.008433 0.020951 0.087358 2.422442 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002352 0.004058 0.007864 0.019892 0.086788 3.258022 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002214 0.003859 0.007597 0.019807 0.093536 6.742938 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002123 0.003749 0.007532 0.020441 0.107824 31.562939 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002019 0.003598 0.007338 0.020525 0.118189 365.727434 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001887 0.003377 0.006929 0.019625 0.117340 6023.396775 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001787 0.003217 0.006663 0.019244 0.122161 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001745 0.003181 0.006725 0.020283 0.148186 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001724 0.003192 0.006921 0.022041 0.195087 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001701 0.003194 0.007092 0.023817 0.259186 NaN NaN